In Ukraine, bread prices may increase in autumn and winter of 2025, but significant price hikes are not expected. This was stated by the president of the “Ukrainian Bakers Association,” Yuriy Duchenko, who noted that the increase is likely to be within 5-10%.
This is reported by Finway
Wheat Grain Ensures Baking Stability
The Ukrainian baking industry requires about 2.5 million tons of baking wheat each year. In 2025, approximately 6 million tons of food wheat of the first, second, and third grades have already been harvested, which allows the industry to meet its demand. At the same time, the expert emphasized that flour producers may find it more challenging to form batches to obtain quality products, which directly affects the pricing of both wheat grain and flour as well as bread.
Shortage of Quality Rye Grain
The situation with rye bread remains more complicated. To produce it, 180,000 tons of rye grain are needed annually. According to Yuriy Duchenko, although the necessary volume has been harvested this year, not all the grain meets quality standards. As a result, there may be a shortage of rye grain, which will impact the price of rye flour and bread.
“It has been harvested, but unfortunately, not all rye grain has the required quality. Therefore, there may be a shortage of rye grain. By the way, over the past year, the price of grain has increased several times, and consequently, so has the price of rye flour,” the expert emphasized.
Thus, bread prices in Ukraine may rise in the coming months; however, significant jumps are not anticipated. At the same time, the greatest risks are concentrated in the rye bread segment due to limitations in quality raw materials.