Changes in the political preferences of citizens have been recorded in Germany: for the first time since September 2025, the Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) have tied in the ratings with the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD). According to a survey by the INSA institute, if elections to the Bundestag were held next Sunday, both political forces would receive 26% of the votes.
This is reported by Finway
Trends in Support for Major Political Forces
Against the backdrop of a stable rating for AfD, CDU/CSU managed to gain one percentage point over the past week. The last time both parties had equal support was in September 2025, when their ratings were at 25%. Concurrently, the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) has shown positive dynamics, rising to 16% (+1 point) and reaching this level for the first time since June 2025.
However, not all political forces are demonstrating growth. The Free Democratic Party (FDP), which has no representation in the Bundestag, lost one percentage point, dropping to 3%. This further distances it from the necessary five percent threshold for entry.
Regional Characteristics and Youth Preferences
Other parties maintain stable ratings: the Greens at 11%, the Left Party at 10%, and the Alliance of Sahra Wagenknecht at 4%, which also prevents this political force from overcoming the parliamentary barrier. Together, other parties garner 4% of the votes.
The survey also revealed significant regional differences. In eastern Germany, AfD has a substantial advantage with 41% support, while CDU/CSU receives 20%. In the west, the picture is reversed: CDU/CSU leads with 28%, ahead of AfD, which garners 22%.
“Notably, support among young voters aged 18 to 29 is equal for CDU/CSU, SPD, and the Left Party at 19%, while AfD has a slight edge at 20%.”
The survey was conducted among 1,204 respondents from January 26 to 30 via phone and online.