The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its forecasts for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2025, noting a number of concerning factors. According to new data, a decrease in economic growth of 0.5 percentage points is expected compared to previous estimates.
This is reported by Finway
According to the updated forecasts, Ukraine’s economic growth in 2025 may only reach 2-3%.
“Real GDP growth is estimated at 3.5% in 2024, but it is expected to slow down to 2-3% in 2025”
, the IMF stated.
Furthermore, it is projected that in 2026, economic growth will decrease by another 0.8 percentage points. Unfavorable factors affecting the situation in the country include labor market restrictions, damage to energy infrastructure, and the ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia.
Global Economic Challenges
At the same time, the IMF has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2025, warning of risks associated with wars and trade protectionism. Global production growth is expected to be 3.2%, which is 0.1 percentage points slower than the previous estimate.
Ukraine’s Public Debt
The fund also believes that in 2025, Ukraine’s public debt will exceed 100% of gross domestic product. In 2026, the debt is expected to increase by another percentage point, and only in 2027 is a decrease of 5 percentage points to 102.6% projected.