The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its growth forecast for Ukraine’s economy for 2025, lowering it by 0.5 percentage points compared to previous estimates. According to the new data, the country’s economic growth may only reach 2–3%.
This is reported by Finway
In the fund’s statement, it is noted:
“Real GDP growth is projected at 3.5% in 2024, but it is expected to slow down to 2–3% in 2025”
. Experts also report that in 2026, Ukraine’s economic growth may deteriorate further by 0.8 percentage points.
The fund emphasizes that the negative forecasts are linked to a number of unfavorable factors, including labor market restrictions, damage to energy infrastructure, and the ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia.
Additionally, the Ukrainian authorities, in a letter of intent to the IMF, mentioned plans to reform the pension system. Among the main measures being considered is the indexing of pensions as the sole mechanism for their increase. The document states that in the near future, the government will take steps to limit the size of additional payments for certain categories of pensioners beyond the accumulated part of their pensions.