In Ukrainian banks, fluctuations in the cash dollar exchange rate are expected to range between 42.3 and 42.8 UAH in the first decade of December 2025. This forecast was announced by Taras Lesovyi, the director of the Department of Financial Markets and Investment Activities at Globus Bank. According to him, a slight increase in the exchange rate is possible both during the purchase and sale of currency.
This is reported by Finway
Forecasts for the Currency Market
Experts believe that the currency rates at exchange offices will also remain within the specified range of 42.3 to 42.8 UAH. This indicates that the trends in the banking market will also be relevant for exchange points. The increase in demand for currency is linked to traditional seasonal factors: at the end of November and in December, there is an increase in hryvnia payments in the form of bonuses, premiums, and dividends. This intensifies interest in purchasing currency among both individuals and businesses.
Impact of the National Bank and Hryvnia Stability
“In the first decade of December, exchange rate fluctuations are likely to remain within the current ranges: the dollar below 43 UAH. Accordingly, moderate optimism will prevail in the currency market — despite all factors of uncertainty, the hryvnia will maintain its positions,” the banker said.
Taras Lesovyi emphasized that the National Bank of Ukraine continues to control the situation in the currency market, responding promptly to changes in the interbank exchange rate. Thanks to the active policy of the regulator, it is possible to maintain a balance between the demand and supply of currency, which helps to ensure the stability of the hryvnia even under conditions of increased market volatility. Thus, while exchange rate fluctuations cannot be ruled out, experts do not see grounds for sharp changes or a loss of control over the market in the coming week of December.
