Changes in the cash dollar exchange rate are expected in Ukrainian banks and exchange offices from September 15 to 21, 2025. According to experts’ estimates, the value of the American currency will fluctuate between 41.15 and 41.5 hryvnias per dollar. Last week, the range of changes was from 40.9 to 41.55 hryvnias per dollar, indicating a possible slight increase in the exchange rate when purchasing currency.
This is reported by Finway
What Factors Will Influence the Dollar Exchange Rate
The Director of the Financial Markets and Investment Activities Department at Globus Bank, Taras Lesovyi, notes that the currency market will remain quite active; however, sharp fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate are not expected. Among the key reasons, the specialist highlights several important trends:
- A decrease in inflation and the development of key sectors of the economy contribute to the strengthening of the hryvnia, reducing the risks of imbalance between demand and supply in the currency market.
- The “managed flexibility” regime used by the National Bank of Ukraine allows for effective regulation of demand and supply through currency interventions. It is expected that next week, the volume of interventions will not exceed $800 million, which is an acceptable figure for the market.
- The global situation of the dollar/euro currency pair remains volatile; however, sharp jumps or declines in major currencies are not forecasted.
Forecast for the Coming Week
“The currency market will be quite lively, but it is unlikely to significantly impact the exchange rate indicators. For this, it sees several substantial reasons: decreasing inflation, development of key sectors of the economy, the operation of the ‘managed flexibility’ regime, and stable global conditions for the dollar/euro currency pair.”
Analysts emphasize that the hryvnia remains relatively stable due to the balanced policy of the National Bank and positive economic trends. In this regard, any increase in the dollar exchange rate in banks and exchange offices, if it occurs, will be minor, and the overall exchange rate range will remain within the projected limits.