IBM to Introduce Quantum Computer Quantum Starling by 2029: Potential Risks for the Crypto Market

До 2029 року квантова загроза для крипторинку може стати реальністю через Quantum Starling від IBM  

IBM has announced the development of the world’s first fault-tolerant quantum computer, Quantum Starling, capable of performing 100 million quantum operations. The launch of this innovative system is scheduled for 2029, which experts believe could significantly impact the security of the cryptocurrency market and cryptography.

This is reported by Finway

Quantum Starling: A New Era in Quantum Computing

Quantum Starling from IBM will be the first system to utilize 200 error-corrected qubits to ensure high fault tolerance. This breakthrough is attributed to an advanced error correction system, particularly the implementation of two-dimensional bicycle codes from the LDPC code family. This approach allows for a 90% reduction in the number of physical qubits needed for operation compared to previous technologies.

Another important innovation will be a real-time error decoder based on FPGA or ASIC, which will enable the identification and correction of errors before they affect calculation results.

“Recently, we reviewed our roadmap, extending it to 2033 and beyond. Currently, we have successfully completed all planned milestones. Based on this experience, we are confident in our continued progress,” said IBM in an official statement.

The Technical Director of the IBM Quantum Innovation Center at the University of Southern California, Rosa Di Felice, noted that the new processor could open up new possibilities for quantum computing in the fields of chemistry, pharmaceuticals, and materials science.

Impact on Blockchain and Bitcoin Security

IBM’s updated roadmap includes a phased implementation of technologies, including the launch of the Nighthawk processor with 120 qubits in 2025, and a full launch of Quantum Starling in 2028-2029.

However, discussions continue in the crypto community regarding the potential impact of quantum computers on blockchain security. Co-founder of Strategy, Michael Saylor, believes that the main risk pertains to banking infrastructure and other digital services, rather than Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Professor David Bader from the New Jersey Institute of Technology warns of potential threats to the cryptographic algorithms that protect blockchains.

“Blockchains will not suddenly be compromised in 2029 — but it is important to monitor the situation closely.”

In light of new challenges, Bitcoin developer Agustin Cruz proposed a BIP titled “Quantum-Resistant Address Migration Protocol” (QRAMP) in February 2025. This initiative involves a hard fork of the Bitcoin network and a mandatory transition for users to new quantum-resistant wallets to secure assets from hacking. If approved, QRAMP will allow for the destruction of unspent transaction outputs from old addresses, and attempts to conduct transactions from such addresses will be blocked by the network.

Cruz emphasizes that his proposal addresses all critical concerns regarding the risks of fund loss, uncertainty regarding the development of quantum technologies, and the possibility of network splitting. The BIP also includes a detailed implementation plan, test scenarios, and instructions for software updates.

Market opinions are divided: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino views the emergence of quantum technologies as positive for the crypto market, while BlackRock emphasizes the potential threat to the security of digital assets due to the advancement of quantum computing.

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